The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in Us Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test

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The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test Cheol-Ho Park University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Numerous empirical studies investigate the profitability of technical trading rules in a wide variety of markets and many find positive profits. Despite positive evidence about profitability and improvements in testing procedures, skepticism about technical trading profits remains widespread among academics mainly due to data snooping problems. This study mitigates data snooping problems by con...

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Numerous studies in the finance literature have investigated technical analysis to determine its validity as an investment tool. Several of these studies conclude that technical analysis does have merit, however, it is noted that the effects of data-snooping are not fully accounted for. In this paper we utilize White’s Reality Check bootstrap methodology (White (1997)) to evaluate simple techni...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal

سال: 2005

ISSN: 1556-5068

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.722264